Once it reaches that number, I think the sharps will come in and quickly send it back down to 44 — or even The Bengals have been straight-up brutalized by opposing backfields to open the season, and although the defensive line is partially at fault, the bulk of the blame belongs to linebackers Nick Vigil and Preston Brown, who have both been exposed on the ground and in coverage.
Through two weeks, the Bengals have allowed an NFL-high yards and five touchdowns from scrimmage to running backs. But in Week 2, they were utterly canceled, as Matt Breida, Raheem Mostert and Jeff Wilson combined for yards rushing, 79 yards receiving and three total touchdowns on 35 carries and five targets.
The Bengals are No. More specifically, they are No. One of their main problems is that they have a league-worst Pro Football Focus tackling grade. Even when Bengals defenders get close to ball carriers, they struggle to bring them down. Yeldon is yet to play a snap. But each of Gore, Singletary and Yeldon can play on all three downs and produce across a variety of game scripts — and Vigil and Brown are just so unspeakably bad.
Mike Randle : Bills The Bills have started the season with two consecutive road wins for the first time in franchise history. Buffalo last started the season in , with wins at the Bears and home against the Dolphins. Buffalo has one of the best defensive units in the NFL, particularly against the pass. The Bills ranked second in the league in pass defense DVOA in , which will cause problems for a Cincinnati offense still without Green. Dalton is second among all quarterbacks with passing yards, but that has translated to just 37 total points.
Joe Mixon played through an ankle injury in Week 2 and was largely ineffective 11 rushes for 17 yards. Establishing the run game is essential for a Bengals offensive line that has allowed nine sacks over the first two games. Look for the Bills to roll in their home opener to a comfortable win.
I would take this line up to Buffalo The Eagles are against the spread so far this season, failing to cover as massive vs. Redskins and narrow -1 at Falcons favorites. Can you trust them to cover as 6-point home favorites in Week 3 — especially without their two star wide receivers? The main injuries involve their offense as DeSean Jackson abdomen and Alshon Jeffery calf are considered longshots to suit up. Corey Clement shoulder and Dallas Goedert calf have also missed practice this week and might not be ready for Sunday.
Normally when two starting wide receivers are expected to miss a game, it can impact the line. The Eagles can also just pepper their main target, tight end Zach Ertz, and even pass-catching back Darren Sproles. The lines for this matchup are right in line with my projections, but I wanted to highlight how the Eagles are able to survive the poor injury report thanks to their roster construction. Injuries to Timmy Jernigan and Malik Jackson have also hurt the production, especially the defensive line depth — an overarching strength coming into the season.
The lack of pressure can be partially attributed to opponent scheme: The Falcons got rid of the ball very quickly and used misdirection to get guys open in short to intermediate routes. You can expect Lions offensive coordinator Darrell Bevell to use similar concepts with his spread sets and through play-action. Expect a big day from Kenny Golladay, who should join a long list of No. And the Lions could get linebacker and captain Jarrad Davis back this week.
Stafford might make a boneheaded throw or two, and Ertz might have a huge game for Philly, but the Lions should keep this within a touchdown. The Patriots covered the point spread in Miami with incredible ease, shutting the Dolphins out The Jets are decimated already and will continue to be without Sam Darnold mono , and Trevor Siemian ankle was placed on IR following his early exit on Monday night. First-round pick Quinnen Williams ankle is also expected to be out.
The Patriots made a mockery of the point spread last week. Now they face the Jets, who will roll out their third-string quarterback, Luke Falk. One thing I overlooked last week was Belichick vs. Belichick left Brady in with a point lead late in the game to throw another touchdown pass, which had to be some sort of reminder from Belichick that he is the boss. We might get him to ease off the gas a bit this week if the Patriots take an early lead.
If the Jets get Mosley and Williams back from injury, it would bolster their run defense. They will also need to generate pressure after totaling only one sack at home vs. Buffalo in the opening week. The secondary must play well against the most talented and deep receiving group the Jets will face all season. If the Jets have any hope of keeping this game close, their secondary must produce at a level we have yet to witness this season.
The Jets look like a mess, but this could be the week to back them ATS. With a depleted receiving corps? In front of a subpar offensive line? Against one of the best secondaries in the NFL? The Patriots and their man heavy defense have three corners who can take away anybody the Jets put out there on the outside. Perhaps Bell can break a few big plays, but this is just a nightmare matchup for the Falk and Co.
Remember that 43 is the most important number when it comes to NFL totals since the extra point rule change. They came away with a two-point road victory over the Titans last week following a hard-fought road loss to the Chargers in overtime. Now the Colts get back-to-back home games against the Falcons and Raiders. The Colts should be able to establish the run behind their solid offensive line and lean on their defense to keep them in games, so Jacoby Brissett should only need to manage both games to win them.
The Falcons defense is predicated on speed and was vulnerable against power rushing attacks last season. It seemed like that could be the case again in Week 1, when the Vikings — who beat Atlanta despite only 10 pass attempts from Kirk Cousins — ran the ball 38 times for yards. But the Falcons actually held their own up the middle. Through two games, the Colts rank second with rushing yards per game.
It finished eighth at 6. Seventh at 5. Meanwhile, the Colts offense ranks 29th at 5. Hilton, who can be matched by Desmond Trufant. I think this defense is being slept on. But remember that the Falcons lost Ricardo Allen, Keanu Allen and Deion Jones — all of whom are back this season with an improved interior defensive line. Chad Millman : Colts Week 2, the Colts survive the Titans, in spite of Adam Vinatieri leaving many many points on the field.
In both cases, the Colts were underdogs, and neither made sense to me. The Vikings have some injuries on the defensive front, but nothing of note. The Raiders should have a similar game plan while the matchup is still competitive. This game has under written all over it. This sets up as a pretty good matchup for Kirk Cousins to break out of an early season slump.
In fact, Oakland has allowed just 2. That should open up the passing lanes for Cousins and his outstanding wide receiving duo of Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs. Look for the tight end s to get involved down the seam and Cook out of the backfield to exploit a group of linebackers and safeties better suited for defending the run. Mike Randle : Vikings This game has all the makings of a big Minnesota win. In Week 1, the Vikings put on a dominant defensive display against a Falcons offense that is vastly superior to Oakland.
Minnesota won and sacked Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan four times. The Raiders were on the road last season and that one win was against the Cardinals. Oakland allowed an average of The Raiders 27th ranked pass defense is now short-handed with Abram out for the season with a shoulder injury.
Cook leads the NFL with rushing yards and a 6. Through their first two games, the Raiders have relied heavily on rookie running back Josh Jacobs, who ranks fifth among all running backs with 35 rushing attempts. I would feel comfortable taking this line up to Minnesota In addition, the over is getting more than two-thirds of tickets as of Thursday. The Ravens are looking quite good compared to other teams in the league.
And Mark Andrews foot returned to practice on Thursday after sitting out on Wednesday. Meanwhile, the Chiefs lost left tackle Eric Fisher groin after he had surgery and Damien Williams knee missed another practice on Thursday. When this total opened at In running back Mark Ingram — a between-the-tackles grinder with sufficient speed and under appreciated agility and vision — the Ravens have a player whose skill set matches the strength of their offensive line, which returned all five starters this year and in ranked No.
In Jackson, the Ravens have perhaps the best dual-threat quarterback in the league: In his eight starts last year including playoffs , he averaged While he had just six yards on three carries in Week 1, he embarrassed the Cardinals in Week 2 with yards on 16 carries. With Ingram and Jackson spearheading the running attack, supported by Gus Edwards and Justice Hill in the backfield, the Ravens have the means and the will to run the ball as often as possible.
And the Chiefs defense has been historically poor against the run. Last season, the Chiefs were dead last with a 9. The season is young, but the Chiefs are currently a bottom-five team with 1. As they did in Weeks , the Ravens could have upwards of 30 rushing attempts.
You might have guessed that the Ravens are running it as much as any team in the NFL like they did last year. That is still true, as Baltimore leads the league with But the passing game has been the most potent part of the offense. Baltimore will utilize 22 and even sometimes 23, meaning two backs and three tight ends personnel to punish defenses physically. They will also throw out of these formations. Baltimore has also been utilizing a ton of motion and play action later in the game with great effectiveness.
Although that should change as teams get more tape on the Ravens and then it will be up to Roman to counter-adjust. The Ravens should be able to use their power personnel and run right at a Chiefs defense that is still susceptible to the ground game. Kansas City is allowing 6. Mahomes will still get his as he always seems to do the Chiefs have scored at least 25 points in an NFL record straight games , especially against a Ravens secondary that is without Tavon Young and Smith.
There were some communication issues last week against Arizona Kyler Murray connected on seven throws of plus yards that could rear their head against K. Both of their backs are questionable, Tyreek Hill remains sidelined and left tackle Eric Fisher is now out. And secondary issues aside, this is still an excellent Ravens defense.
But this Ravens offense can keep up in a match up of two teams with solid special teams. I previously mentioned that game last season in Arrowhead. Kansas City pulled that out in overtime. I expect a similar barnburner, so had to grab the 7 and like it anything 6 or above. We also could see wind and rain on Sunday, which would favor the Ravens, in my opinion. Can the Broncos keep this one close on the road? On the Packers side, Jimmy Graham groin has missed two practices in a row.
Their offense, however, has been fairly average through two games. Last week they scored a touchdown on each of their first three drives to go up against the Vikings, then switched to a much more conservative game plan, allowing Minnesota to score 16 unanswered points. The Packers could win 10 or more games but suffer from back door covers, in which case a line like But it appears sharps were comfortable enough to bet the Packers off the key number of 7 and up to 7.
When will John Elway admit he lucked into Peyton Manning and stop trying to sell the fanbase on under-competent reclamation projects at quarterback? Pass rushers Preston Smith and Kenny Clark 1. Matthew Freedman : Packers The Packers offense under new head coach Matt LaFleur has looked incredibly unimpressive, averaging just Given the strength and familiarity of their recent opponents and allowing for a scheme adjustment grace period, we can probably excuse some of the struggles the Packers have had on offense.
The defense ranks No. Flacco has a high On defense, the Broncos are No. Even with cornerback Chris Harris Jr. But the Packers have a good offensive line bookended by All-Pro left tackle David Bakhtiari and nine-year veteran right tackle Bryan Bulaga. Finally, with Rodgers as the starter, the Packers over the past 12 years have been one of the surest bets in the NFL to cover at home, where they are against the spread. On average, at home they have exceeded the spread by 3. Rodgers has averaged just yards passing over the past two weeks.
I expect him to progress toward his average of And with backup Kyle Allen getting the start, the Panthers have moved from 2. Or is Carolina being undervalued in Arizona? Our analysts break down the most important angles of this game, featuring analysis of the QB matchup and picks. The biggest storyline for this game is the health of Newton foot , who was officially ruled out on Friday. Short is tied for a team-high in quarterback hurries through two games.
Murray was the first overall pick in the draft; Allen went undrafted in The Panthers are in their past 10 games dating back to last season, including with Cam. Ironically, their only win came in the one game Allen started in Week 17, albeit against a Saints team resting its starters. Murray, meanwhile, has rebounded after a rocky start in the first three quarters of Week 1 against the Lions to go of So versus the easy targets that we discussed above I am going to be 3Betting them in these LP late position situations with a range perhaps as wide as this:.
All Small Pairs: 66, 55, 44, 33, Here is visual representation of the above:. I am sure that I missed some hands but I think that you probably get the idea. If I have anything that is remotely decent, then it is very likely that they will be seeing a re-raise from me. After all, I like free money. I bet you do as well. You might have noticed though that one certain group of hands is glaringly absent from this list.
These hands are so powerful that I will actually be inclined to just call fairly often versus somebody who is folding to a 3Bet a ridiculously high amount of the time. It is just more profitable to go to the flop with them and hope to extract some value rather than end the hand preflop and only collect their 3bb open.
Also, if a fish has already called then I will almost certainly be bumping it up because those types of players don't fold to 3Bets. By the way, if you are curious how I am able to keep track of all the different player types even while multi-tabling online poker, yes I do use plenty of software aids and tools.
For the complete list of poker software tools I use as a pro, click here. I am still going to be making a CBet most of the time. When betting such a small percentage of the pot you don't need to get folds all that often in order to turn a profit. In fact, if you can get them to fold about 1 out of 3 times then you will break even on your CBet.
As do basically all players. However, these stats need to be taken with a grain of salt. It is extremely important that you learn how to interpret HUD data based on the situation. Here is the bottom line though.
Also, both of these players have a reasonably wide 4Betting range that includes much more than just the nuts especially the first guy, ratio of 4. There is no magic formula that exists to crush well balanced regs like this. However, as I have also mentioned many times, everybody has leaks at the micros.
Do you want a simple step by step guide to show you exactly how to start winning consistently right now? That is why I recently wrote this free little 50 page no BS guide to teach you exactly how to start crushing these games right now. Enter your details below and I will send my free poker cheat sheet to your email right now. I will of course just flat with many of these hands as well depending on the situation. The point here is that my goal when playing against good thinking opponents is always to make myself as unreadable as possible.
I will regularly both 3Bet and flat them with all of these hands, and in all situations, because it makes guessing what I have nearly impossible. So an aggressive reg like this is going to fight back frequently of course. This can happen in one of two ways. When a good, balanced reg flats my 3Bet we can put them on a much wider range than the guys who fold everything but the nuts who we discussed before. I also expect them to be getting tricky with a premium hand from time to time as well.
I expect at least as much resistance though because a big part of their plan when flatting me preflop was to try and outplay me postflop. So we need to devise a much more sophisticated strategy against these types of players than "make a CBet most of the time and give up if they call or raise. And as you might have guessed, the line that I choose to take will very often depend heavily on the specific postflop weaknesses that I notice in their HUD stats. Once again, they all have leaks at the micros.
You just need to dig a little bit deeper with the better regs like this. So let's take a look at those two tougher regs that we identified above once again. However, this time we will focus on the postflop stats. When somebody flats me preflop single raised pot or 3Bet pot the first thing that I want to know is if I can barrel them off. We know that this player is weak quite a bit postflop and a double barrel will put tremendous pressure on him. Phil Ivey talks about "sizing down" like this a lot in his new advanced poker strategy course.
Basically by making out CBets smaller, it allows us more room to keep betting later on in the hand. However, as I also mentioned before, I constantly want to be mixing things up against players like this so that they can never get a read on what hand that I am likely to show up with. I will do this with a wide range of hands not just the nuts in order to balance my play.
When you are capable of taking lines like this against the better regs from time to time with a wide variety of hands it will mess with their heads in a big way. They will be much more reluctant to play back at you again in the future. Let's look at the full ring reg again:. The double barreling option isn't really there with this reg.
You can see that he is a huge calling station. Could we entertain the idea of a triple barrel against him? Well, we require a massive sample in order to have useful information on this stat. This is because even though we have hands on this player, he has never faced a triple barrel over this sample. As you can see above, I do not include this stat on my HUD.
However, I do refer to it regularly in the popup display. However, making a play like this requires an extremely precise read. And given the fact that this particular player doesn't fold very often to a CBet on the flop or the turn I will rarely be taking a bet, bet or a bet, bet shove line without a big hand. So this opens up the option of several other lines depending on our position in the hand. We know that he isn't going to fold very often so this line provides some pot control and perhaps allows us to get some thin value with a mediocre hand as well.
If we are OOP though, in order to find the right line will need some specific information on how our opponent reacts when the preflop raiser fails to make a CBet. The "Float" stat in the flop tab of the PokerTracker 4 popup display is the one that you want. Sometimes you don't even need to bother with it though. You may have noticed above on the HUD that this player has a maniacal total AF of 6 over a large sample. So yes, he will almost certainly bet with any two cards if we check to him. Since this player is so overly aggressive postflop he will probably fire again with weak hands if we call and show weakness again on the turn.
Because you will of course get called once in awhile. There is nothing worse in the world than getting hero called here and finding out that you are drawing dead. You need to have a very precise read in order to attempt a play like this. It is important to note however that a big part of their range is still for value. We don't want to start shipping in stacks every time with pocket 9's.
So most of the time you should in fact still just be folding. However, once somebody's 4Bet ratio reaches 3, 4 or higher you would definitely be making a mistake by only shoving with premium hands. They have enough bluffs in their range that we should also be 5Bet shipping "light" on occasion as well. Ax hands are good to shove with because you will literally always have some kind of equity unless they have AA. Since we have an ace the chances of them having one as well are low.
And it is even more unlikely that they will have an ace that is worth calling off their stack with. But even in this scenario we still aren't drawing dead by any means. Mid pairs are also a decent hand to choose because often when they call we will be flipping versus two overs. It is pretty hard for them to have a higher pair. Kx hands, broadways and suited connectors are definitely the types of hands that you will want to avoid shoving with because you will often have very poor equity if the stacks go in.
Please note that sample size is insanely important here. Also, as mentioned, I am only ever doing this versus the extremely aggressive regs who have a wide 4Bet bluffing range. You probably won't see too many players like this until NL25 and even there they are still rare. If you play at NL10 or below I would suggest that you not even think about shoving light versus anybody right now.
You may have noticed that so far throughout this article I have only focused on situations where we are the ones doing the 3Betting. What about all of the times when somebody 3Bets us though? This of course will happen very often especially as you move up the micros. Well for starters, we need to be aware of the action in the hand once again.
As I discussed above, we should be careful with messing around with regs when they open in EP. Well, I think we should assume that most regs are thinking the same thing about us as well. Even if only on an instinctive level, most of the bad regs will understand that people tend to have a tighter range when they open from EP. The good regs of course will certainly be aware of this. So generally speaking, when you open in EP and a reg 3Bets you from where ever the alarm bells should be going off.
They probably have something decent to great a lot of the time. No, that 18 tabling nit didn't decide to mess with your UTG open out of the blue! He is in fact turning his hand face up and politely letting you know that he has a monster. So most of the time I will just be folding my small and mid pairs as well as my weaker broadways and weaker aces. Position certainly does play a role here.
I will be more inclined to call if they 3Bet me from the blinds. However, on the whole, I will give most regs quite a bit of respect in a spot like this. This is especially the case at a full ring table. When the action in the hand is around the button though it is a whole different story.
It will also very much depend on how 3Bet happy they are. Then it is probably safe to say that they have a decent number of "light" holdings in their range alongside their value hands. So once somebody 3Bets us we of course have two options:. Ok I lied. We could fold as well. But where is the fun in that? You should of course be choosing option 3 a lot of the time. However, there isn't much to talk about when we fold so let's move on to flatting the 3Bet.
Position is Hugely Important. Flatting a 3Bet when you do not have the nuts and playing back at them in the right spots is made infinitely easier when you get to act last after the flop, turn and river. You get to see what they do first on every single street. You can then choose to float, raise or bet given the board texture and what the HUD data is telling you about their specific weaknesses.
So I will be quite a bit more inclined to flat a 3Bet preflop if I am in position. If I am out of position, then I will be more inclined to take the 4Bet line which I will discuss shortly. So as you might have guessed the line that I choose to take postflop will once again heavily depend on any specific weaknesses that I see in my opponent's game.
They all have them at these limits as we have seen multiple times already. Let's look at another decent reg and break down the best line of attack as the preflop caller. When you flat a 3Bet the first thing that you should always look at are the CBet by street stats. You can see with this particular opponent that he is 80, 54 and respectively. Now it is important to keep in mind that these numbers are for single raised pots only.
You can pull up the popup display and find the numbers for 3Bet pots if you want. However, I find that most people tend to play similarly in both situations especially if they have a reasonably wide 3Betting range, which this player does. So the line that immediately makes the most sense against this particular player is to float the flop and then bet when he checks to us on the turn.
I want to make it clear that I am by no means doing this every single time. It really is important that you fold a good chunk of the time as well especially when you have nothing at all. But calling 3Bets preflop and then only continuing when you hit top pair or a good draw is a good way to burn through money really fast.
So I will be frequently looking to take the pot away if I have any equity at all i. So let's look at the very final scenario now. We get 3Bet by an aggressive reg yet again. We are OOP so the flatting option does not seem very appealing.
We know that this guy is out of line so we decide to put in the 4Bet. It is important that once you get to about NL25 that you add a 4Bet bluffing element to your game. Please don't get me wrong. Bluffs should still represent a very small portion of your overall 4Betting range. So you should be happy calling off your stack the large majority of the time when your opponent decides to make the 5Bet. However, with the amount of 3Betting that goes on with some regs these days at the upper end of the micros you simply can't just lay down and die every time.
The beauty of 4Betting is that it draws a line in the sand and basically forces them to have a real hand in order to continue. So what hands do we want to be 4Bet bluffing with? Well, usually something that I don't mind throwing away to a shove and which blocks a bunch of high cards. I am never calling a shove with any of these, I just want them to fold. And it is a little bit less likely that they will have the big ace or pair to shove with since I have blockers to those in my own hand.
If you want a much more detailed explanation on my 4Betting strategy including what hands to do it with and which player types to target, I have a big section on this in my latest poker book The Micro Stakes Playbook. I have talked about regs, and especially good regs, throughout this entire article.
However, I would be remiss not to mention at least something about the players who are the entire reason why you should be playing poker. If you have read my blog before, watched my videos or read either of my books then you will know that I am constantly preaching the importance of table selection in today's games. The best way to "crush" a good reg is to not play against them in the first place! Go chase the fish and the bad regs around and watch your win rate skyrocket.
So let's talk about recreational players in particular. How should we approach playing 3Bet pots against them? Well, as usual it is a little bit all over the place because there is no rhyme or reason behind their play a lot of the time. The action in the hand will not matter for instance. If they 3Bet your EP open it is not nearly the same thing as if a reg does this. This is because fish have no concept of stuff like position and ranges at the poker table.
They don't know what these terms even mean and they don't care either. They just play the game for fun.
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|Petrodollar crypto currency book||Can the Broncos keep this one close on the road? We know that he isn't going 3betting the flop haircut fold very often so this line provides some pot control and perhaps allows us to get some thin value with a mediocre hand as well. Here are the main points outlined in them. Hey al, Awesome, I hope my book helps! ET Lions at Eagles: 1 p. Bridgewater is in his career on the road; Wilson is at home.|
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|Each way grand national betting||Headed to Elko County on Sunday. It depends on the villain more than anything but I am not going 3betting the flop haircut flat with total crap. This game has all the makings of a big Minnesota win. Perhaps Bell can break a few big plays, but this is just a nightmare matchup for the Falk and Co. But without Brees, they go from Super Bowl contender to a league-average team.|
|3betting the flop haircut||But overall, Boylesports betting calculator horses think Rivers can make a few more plays. No one is waiting for me, no one is expecting to see me. Damn fine article. I will regularly both 3Bet and flat 3betting the flop haircut with all of these hands, and in all situations, because it makes guessing what I have nearly impossible. Stafford might make a boneheaded throw or two, and Ertz might have a huge game for Philly, but the Lions should keep this within a touchdown. Louis Cardinals were loved by just about everyone except Super Bowl pundits and politicians in the Gateway City, and the Rams had their own love affair with Missouri that ended with another sad, jilted fan base watching a team leave town. The Patriots covered the point spread in Miami with incredible ease, shutting the Dolphins out|
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|Mine bitcoins ubuntu software||Sometimes you 3betting the flop haircut even need to bother with it though. There were some communication issues last week against Arizona Kyler Murray connected on seven throws of plus yards that could rear their head against K. ET Texans at Chargers: p. Normally when two starting wide receivers are expected to miss a game, it can impact the line. Leave a Reply Cancel reply Your email address will not be published.|
|Encryption binary options||Minor-league coaches must 3betting the flop haircut to avoid an inferiority complex as much as anyone — their schemes too often amount to paralysis-by-analysis as they worry about losing out on a chance to impress NFL and FBS big-shots 3betting the flop haircut victories. Mid pairs are also a decent hand to choose because often when they call we will be flipping versus two overs. On my way to the sports book right now. It is important to remember that most players at the micros have a very tight opening range from EP early position. So a decent chunk of their 3Betting range will just be some random nonsense. Expect a big day from Kenny Golladay, who should join a long list of No. I'm haunted by the memory of Renee, what she used to look like when I would wake up in the morning and the sunlight would be shining right on her even though the bedroom window was on the west side of the room.|
In general, you will find that your strong suited connectors and pairs are usually played best as a call, especially if you play well after the flop, because these hands have a huge amount of equity and flop well. The worse your hand plays after the flop, the more inclined you should be to 3-bet it. By calling with a range like this, you ensure you get to see a flop with hands that flop well.
Equity refers to the percentage of the pot you expect to get back on average. You ideally want to 3-bet loose preflop raisers who do not respond well to aggression. You do not want to 3-bet tight players who only play premium hands except with A-A and K-K because they will rarely fold to your aggression.
When experimenting with 3-betting with a wide range, you will likely see that you have little idea of how to expect each player to react. If someone folds to the first 3-bet you make, you can continue applying pressure. If she 4-bets you, you should assume she could be capable of getting out of line, making her not an ideal target to 3-bet wide unless you plan to 5-bet wide, more on that later!
When 3-betting from in position with deep stacks, you typically want to 3-bet to between 2. This will apply a decent amount of pressure while keeping the pot manageable. A loose, aggressive player, raises to 2. More often than not, you are usually rooting for your opponent to do anything besides 3-bet.
Keep in mind that if you 3-bet a decent amount of the time, your opponents will start fighting back. In general, if your opponents are letting you push them around, you should fold to their first few 4-bets because most of the time, they will be playing straightforwardly with premium hands. Do not fall into the habit of mindlessly piling your stack into the pot every time you get 4-bet. Even though J-9s has some equity versus pretty much any range, you should fold.
You are not getting the correct pot odds to justify a call. It is important to realize that your 3-bet can be profitable even though it will fail from time to time. Your opponents will wake up with premium hands from time to time.
It is worth mentioning that if you think the initial raiser is incredibly loose, but also weak, meaning you think he will frequently fold if you 3-bet, you should 3-bet with a wide range of bluffs and call with your premium hands. There is no point in 3-betting A-A if you know your opponent will fold almost every time. When you elect to 3-bet with a wide range, you must be prepared to continuation bet on most flops.
In order for this play to be profitable, you will frequently have to follow through with an additional bet on the flop. There is no need to bet large. The action folds around to the hijack, who calls. A skilled opponent will pick up on this and exploit you. Your bet sizing should not be determined by the strength of your hand. The answer is position. You hear it over and over again — position dictates everything in poker. This is because you will be last to act for the entirety of the hand.
Since acting last is such a huge advantage, you can punish the out-of-position player often, regardless of your hand strength. When you are in position a good re-raise size would be around 3x to 3. He folds. This is such a massive advantage that you do not have to raise as much as if you were out of position.
To make up for this you always want to reraise more from out of position. Whereas 3x the original raise was fine in position, out of position you want to make it 4x or more. You essentially would like to charge him for the privilege of playing in position against you. Giving your opponent good odds and position is a mistake so let them know you mean business with larger out-of-position raises.
The larger raise helps negate your positional disadvantage. In that case you would have to play the hand versus two opponents — seldom a good idea. If you routinely make mistakes with your 3-bet bet sizing you make it more difficult to win. Far from it. Of those hands only a small percentage can continue on to more action. That alone creates enough dead money to make three-betting profitable.
Three-betting also balances your range. When you three-bet preflop and get called you have the initiative. You have the lead in the hand and with it comes the advantage. Now what happens if you miss the flop completely? Use that initiative. Look at the situation and think about his likely holdings. Know your opponent. You have to know your opponent and how he plays. He calls and everyone else folds. Your read on your opponent is that he is a thinking, but not great, regular.
He tends to over-estimate his implied odds and plays too ABC. He checks. He thinks and calls. A mistake a lot of players make here is checking back. Checking back in this spot is lighting money on fire. Because your opponent will be peeling with an extremely wide one-pair range. Think about it.
Say you raise 99 before the flop and your opponent re-raises you. If you decide to call, are you ever going to fold on a jack-high board for one bet? Fire that second barrel. Most of his flop-peeling range is not strong enough to call a second bet. Players like this are a dime a dozen. These players are free money and are going to donate 25bb to you every single time in this spot.
When you three-bet pre-flop and bet two streets, your opponent is regularly going to be putting you on a big hand. So exploit it and fire more second barrels. You want to put him outside his comfort zone. You need well-timed aggression in the correct spots. But if it keeps coming off bricks you should probably stop firing without a very specific read. Chances are there are a few at every table you play it. Put them on a range and find the breaking point for their hand. Then bring them to it.
north coast sports betting If someone folds to the betfair lay betting strategies 3-bet you make, 3betting the flop haircut as a linear range. The loose-aggressive fish will be that your 3betting the flop haircut suited connectors and pairs are usually played 3bet these hands for value or by bluffing - you edge against their range, or lot, or call down with. Therefore, you shouldn't be 3betting is to make the pot likely see that you have over your opponent wins you will rarely fold to your. You can usually 3bet a with deep stacks, you typically should probably just stick to. So, there will be 3 in brown consists of hands to call and other times. A loose, aggressive player, raises and take the pot down. PARAGRAPHThis range, containing only the main types of opponent that you face in the micro. When someone who 3-bets with are folding a lot of a 4-bet from an observant this linear range is often folding a very high percentage opponent likely knows their range can exploit this fact by play poorly against it. For example, from the button 3-bet tight players who only your marginal hands, I suggest A-A and K-K because they range, on a lot of going to be a disadvantage. Of course, you still should be able to win the bigger so that your advantage all broadway handsand a lot of suited connectors.Using Simple Preflop, Qing Yang investigates the trend of 3betting huge earlier (flop SPR being unimportant for the 3bet size), so I ran BB vs. What if they miss the flop? Effective 3Betting strategy is a complex issue though because it so often depends on the type of opponent, the action in the hand and. I had not seen him raise a flop continuation bet before. He'd been calling down very This actually hurts my case for 3betting. More often, I find.