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Just throw it together in the evening, then throw it in the oven in the morning. Jenny, Thank you so much for not making us scroll through a blog before we can see the recipe. Made this for dinner tonight. It came out great! Family loved it! Thanks for the recipe.
Will definitely be making this again! I have baked bread for decades and this is the easiest bread I have ever made. The crust and soft, light inside is amazing. Love easy receipes with minimal ingredients. Stick to the recipe.? It will be perfect. I have made this recipe several times and absolutely love the taste and how it easy it is to make. Any idea on how cooking time would be adjusted if I cut the recipe in quarters?
Love this bread! The results are gratifying, butter and salt on mine. I just made this today. I used a non stick pie pan inside an enameled stew pot with a lid instead of parchment paper and a Dutch oven- and it turned out just perfect- soft inside, crunchy outside. Will try with garlic and rosemary soon. Fabulous, flavorful, flawless results! Recipe followed as written up to shaping and baking.
Preferring a smaller, oblong loaf, before final rise I divided dough in half and gently shaped each into a rectangle. BOTH were great, although the dutch oven loaf was darker overall. Many, many thanks to Jenny for sharing this great recipe!!! Thank you! I have made this multiple times and it always turn out great. Love it sliced and brushed with herb butter on a panini grill press!!!
Ok, what am I doing wrong?!!! The first time I made this it turned out perfect. Help please! Sounds like your yeast has gone bad OR the temperature of your water is too hot therefore killing the yeast or too cold therefore slowing down the activation. Have you checked to see if your yeast is still active? Or is your water too hot killing the yeast?
I am not a baker, but I followed your video and recipe. The first time I baked this bread, it turned out perfect to my standard! Great and simple recipe! I absolutely love this bread. I actually split the dough into two loaves its just me and my husband and doing this allows the second loaf to last longer since its not cut. I put each loaf in a parchment lined loaf pan and tent with foil and add a shallow baking dish on the lower rack with water in it to help create the humidity.
I even made this for Christmas dinner. I will never buy fancy bread again when this is so tasty and easy. Thank you, Jenny!!! I baked the bread on a flat preheated baking sheet, i might spread a little but you could put it in a cake ring.
I also baked it in my stainless steel pot or an enameled cast iron. I separate the dough into square-ish buns and bake on preheated sheet… all works. So went out and bought a cast iron dutch oven and the ingredients that you listed and made my first loaf of bread. I just finished it 20 minutes ago and oh my Lord that first slice tasted soooo good.
Again Thank You Very Much. Thank you so much for this amazing recipe! Your presentation help me to believe i could make it….. Keep up! This bread is SO tasty! I love the super crunchy crust and the middle is soft and moist. I will be making this for a long time to come. Thank you for your awesome YouTube video, I love your energy. I think you are just the tippy-top and am so glad I stumbled onto your site.
I partly use your no-Knead bread recipe mit my own tweaks. You really are an inspiration, esp. Ciao, Geoff. Thanks for posting this recipe, Jenny. Hats off!! I usually make the original Jim Lahey overnight no-knead bread published in New York Times Anyhow, I realized I forgot to make up a batch last night, and needed bread for today. Your recipe was a life-saver.
Your FAQ advice is correct. Follow the recipe the first time. I was sorely tempted to let it rise longer, but I thought, nope, make as written. It worked! It had a tighter crumb than the original, and the same shattering crust. Great in a pinch. In this version, the pure yeast flavour comes through pretty much unadulterated.
The original is more like sour dough. I think your readers might also like to try that variation. Jim Lahey from Sullivan Bakery in NYC just wanted people to realize it was easy to make a simple loaf, and all he ever wanted was for people to take his recipe, and go forth and bake. Jim must be proud of all the time variations and ingredient variations. These recipes are like yeast…taking over, and creating magic out of everyday ingredients.
Thank-you, Jenny!! Thank-you, Jim!! I have about 6 cups of bubbly starter and would love to incorporate it in this recipe or similar one. I love this recipe. Servings: Makes one loaf. Add the flour and salt. Combine until a stiff dough forms, then finish mixing by hand to fully incorporate the flour. The dough will feel dense and shaggy, and it will stick to your fingers as you go.
Scrape off as much as you can. Cover with a damp towel and let rest for 30 minutes. Replenish your starter with fresh flour and water, and store according to preference. After the dough has rested, work the mass into a fairly smooth ball. To do this, grab a portion of the dough and fold it over, pressing your fingertips into the center. Repeat, working your way around the dough until it begins to tighten, about 15 seconds. Bulk rise: Cover the bowl with a damp towel and let rise overnight at room temperature.
The dough is ready when it no longer looks dense and has doubled in size. Shape: In the morning, coax the dough onto a lightly floured work surface. To shape it into a round, start at the top and fold the dough over toward the center. Turn the dough slightly and fold over the next section of dough. Repeat until you have come full circle. Flip the dough over and let rest for 5 to 10 minutes.
Meanwhile, line an 8-inch cm bowl with a towel and dust with flour. With floured hands, gently cup the dough and pull it toward you in a circular motion to tighten its shape. Using a bench scraper, place the dough into the bowl, seam side up. Second Rise: Cover the bowl and let rest for 30 minutes to 1 hour. The dough is ready when it looks puffy and has risen slightly but has not yet doubled in size. Cut a sheet of parchment paper to the size of your baking pot, leaving enough excess around the sides to remove the bread.
Score: Place the parchment over the dough and invert the bowl to release. Sprinkle the dough with flour and gently rub the surface with your hands. Using the tip of a small, serrated knife or a razor blade, score the dough with a crosscut pattern. Use the parchment to transfer the dough to the baking pot. Bake the dough on the center rack for 20 minutes, covered. Remove the lid, and continue to bake for 30 minutes.
Then, carefully remove the loaf from the pot and bake directly on the oven rack for the last 10 minutes to crisp the crust. When finished, transfer to a wire rack. Cool for 1 hour before slicing. Sourdough is best consumed on the same day it is baked. To maximize freshness, cool completely and store at room temperature in a plastic bag for up to 1 day. I absolutely love every 1 of your recipes!!
They have saved my sanity!!! If using a 3-quart Dutch oven, should the recipe be reduced? Also, can regular flour be used instead of bread flour? You can use almost anything. That will absolutely work. Also this doesnt require bread flour as stated. Even a thick foil top works of you dont have a lid. Question: I milled hard winter wheat berries to produce my own whole wheat flour. This recipe came out FLAT! Help from anyone that knows how to make this with whole wheat four?
Thank you so much for all these amazing recipes. I was 10 years old when I came to Canada from Poland and really missed out on Learning how to cook with the woman in my family. You have been an inspiration and all your recipes have been a hit in my household. Thank you so much. I made your wonderful bread tonight! I added a little honey. It was soooooo.
Hubby and I ate half a loaf, just sampling it! I tried AP flour and instant yeast. Thanks for the awesome recipe! So that was my question I was searching for… do I use that instead or rather can I? I have one in the oven now. Thank you for sharing your great recipe with us. Happy New Year! Hi Jenny I have made your bread lots for friends and family too. With the leftover bread I slice it and freeze it ,it makes amazing toast especially the white bread it tastes like English muffins. I agree!
Thanks Jenny and Happy New Year! I have now made this bread dozens of times, and feel I have landed on the perfect combination- 2c bread flour a must! The Malt Powder adds a wonderful fluff and texture. Soooo good. I will never buy store bought bread again!
Thank you Jenny!!!!!! I made this bread this afternoon and it turned out perfectly!!! Thanks Jenny!!! This recipe is the best ever! During the spring when I lost my job and was quarantined, I found this amazing and easy recipe and it has been made over and over again since April!
Oh my gosh, this bread is so good! As I am typing this, I have a whole wheat loaf in oven. I added honey and a little bit of sugar too. It smells so good right now. I am a little worried, as this loaf turned out to be bigger than the normal recipe.
Should be good none-the-less. Thanks so much for this recipe! My family loves it! Happy new year! Perfect for those days when you forget to start bread the night before. I had to rush the rise to 2 hours and just put the bowl closer to the heat register. It was perfect! This bread recipe has been such a blessing along with all your others.
I hope you can feel the love from your readers. What better gift can you give someone than to show them how to feed themselves especially with a way to have bread. The blessing of bread transcends our plight on so many levels. I also appreciate not fighting with ads. I pray you are twice blessed for that. You are so kind to take time to send this message. Thank you for reminding me that my efforts are making a difference. Thanks for the Recipe.
Question your loaf looks like it was scored before going in the oven. Do you score the loaf prior to going into the oven. Your video does not showing you scoring the bread. Please advise. Merry Christmas and Happy New Year to you and your family!!! I have made this bread many times. It is foolproof and delicious!!! Thank you for giving very clear instructions. Just started bread making in March because of the pandemic. I knew nothing about it and had several flops til I found your recipe.
Now yours is the golden standard. If I do find other recipes I just take the ingredients and plug them into your recipe. Thank you, thank you, thank you. Jenny, I made this bread and my family love love love it. It is so easy too. This time I added Italian seasoning to the dough and sprinkled some on the top when I put it in the oven. The smell filled my house and the flavor was beyond words. My family told me that I could actually sell this bread. Thanks Jenny for being so funny and cute on your videos.
You have made a little nicer. What a great recipe. So flexible. I have made it with regular white flour and with spelt flour. Both were great! I also made it with 2 cups of Cup4Cup Gluten Free Flour blended with 1 cup of oat flour and a little more yeast. Dzien dobry! I have made this loaf at least twice a month since March. It is perfect everytime! When I took the lid off the pot the first time, I was like wow!
I made this! The fam was impressed to. You are so right…trust the recipe. The first time I was tempted to add more water. This recipe is so much easier than others. Polish heritage. Gonna try your kruschiki. This bread and your other recipes have gotten me through I was never very successful baking bread until I watched your videos. Now I get it right every time.
I really appreciate your fun positive attitude and the recipes are excellent. If i do the overnight method where to leave it stand overnight as it is coller in house during the night than the daytime temp. In the summer I was leaving it in the microwave to rst overnight as to not have fluctuating temp. What is your sugestion as several of my loaves have been gummy inside.
I cool completely. Fluctuating temperature will not impact this dough. Overnight, it can rest at any room temperature. Baked, and gave as gift to several neighbors and they loved it, too. So simple and delicious. Jenny you are amazing!
Followed exact directions and it was Fantastic!!! From a fellow Canadian. I used a cast iron Dutch oven. The bread came out with a crunchy crust after 30 minutes! Thanks so much! You are such a talented lady and such a joy to watch! Thank you so much for doing this! Do you think it could be the flour I used? Any help is appreciated. Thank you. Sue — something must have gone wrong because this bread is delicious.
I use King Arthur all-purpose flour and it turns out great every time. Roast a head of garlic in the oven and let it cool. Chop up some fresh Rosemary and thyme,about 1tsp R and 1Tbls T. Pop all the garlic cloves out of their husks,leave them whole and toss it all in when you are folding the dough after 3 hours.
Also,I make Ricotta cheese quite a bit and you can use the left over whey in place of the water to give it a very nice flavor. I used a roasting pan, made two and they turned out beautifully!!! I just started baking rolls and breads from scratch this year. Thanks for this recipe! Thanks for the wonderful recipe! I made a gluten free version! My husband has been gluten free for 30 years. He said it is the best bread he has had. The crust, the inside , just everything about it.
Is it possible to add cinnamon, sugar, and raisins to This recipe? What would the measurements be be? I make cinnamon raisin nut bread all the time. Love this basic recipe, I also make roasted garlic, everything bagel and minced garlic bread. All to your own taste.
That is a huge amount of sugar. Do you worry about the calorie content with that? Bread alone without sugar is extremely calorie dense. I just made your bread. It is delicious. I posted a picture and five people asked for the recipe. Hello in have a quick question in regards to sourdough starter that I have , versus using the dry packets of levin what are your thoughts? Your no knead bread looks so yummy— so Jenny! I do hope you or someone else will answer my question. What do you say about making this with GF flour— specifically almond flour, and maybe a mix of almond and plain GF flours?
Slit the top and bake in a cast iron pot. The herbs make it soooo tasty. Occasionally, we throw polenta or cornmeal on the parchment paper at bottom of pot for an extra textured base crust. Have added sliced dried tomatoes yum! Regularly top it with more rosemary or caraway just before baking for a more flavorful and gorgeous top. Have tried letting the dough rise overnight on counter, overnight in fridge, using a little more yeast, a little less yeast.
Occasionally, a loaf came out with a slightly gummy center apparently from having set our oven temp higher than the , but even that toasted up yummy. In any event, thank you, Jenny Jones! Anna B. I love your additions to the bread. Hi Jenny. I have two Dutch oven pans that are inherited from my mother in law. One is round and has no lid. The other is oval and does have a lid. I will be using the oval pan for my bread. I hope it turns out good.
Any suggestions? I use a good digital instant read thermometer to ensure temperature is within range shown in recipe. I love the no-knead bread. I have a lot of success but I have been experimenting with not so good luck. I put in a little more than one full tsp. My bread does not rise as it should. So my question is should I go back to the correct measurements like you post and why is too much yeast a problem?
Also, is it okay that I add sugar? I like a sweeter bread. Will it still work? I added dried onion and a little garlic powder at the fold over stage and worked it in the dough while folding. I also added 1 tsp apple cider vinegar in with my water to give bread a more sourdough quality. Turns out perfect! Best bread ever. So easy. Followed directions accordingly and just sprinkled everything bagel seasoning on top before baking.
Great bread for dipping in seasoned olive oil. Thanks, Jenny! I have made regular yeast rolls with self-rising flour, but be sure to omit the salt alredy in the SR flour or you will have a bread that is not fit to eat. In response to the question of not having a Dutch oven, I have used a Corning ware dish with glass top. The loaf pan goes inside both a Dutch oven and a Corning dish. Both produce tasty loaves.
Corning dish actually works better as the loaf rises higher inside it. You can use anything you want, hell you can put it on a piece of aluminum foil on your oven rails if you want. I made the bread today. I love to cook and now to be able to bake…. That usually happens naturally as long as the oven is hot enough.
Marie, I like to think those flaps are for the baker to enjoy while the rest of the loaf is cooling. Jenny, I have made this bread so many times! Is powdered garlic or dried garlic a possibility? Thanks so much. We had it for dinner with tomatoes, basil and mozzarella. It put me right back on vacation in Italy. It was my first try and will now be a staple in my kitchen. I made the 3 hour bread yesterday and it was moist and delicious but the crust was not so much crunchy but very tough.
What can I do to make a crust that is not so tough? Love your videos and recipes! Which I could share a picture of my bread, it was amazing with bread flour. I tried your no knead bread yesterday and although I thought that I messed up while mixing the dough, it came out perfect…we had it with dinner last night and I have another bowl of dough rising right now…..
I used this great recipe for regular bread, cranberry walnut bread, and raisin walnut and each turned out beautifully. First using fresh chopped garlic. Delicious flavor but did not rise. So I used gourmet garlic powder and nope as well. Well that did not work either. It did rise more than other tries but I want a tall round beautiful loaf like the original recipe.
Any hints? I made this bread last night and shook in both garlic powder and Italian seasoning and it came out fine. I did put it in with all the other ingredients prior to mixing but not sure if it matters. This is the first time I tried the powder but have not tried fresh garlic. Thank you for your bright? I loved this so much I gave up buying bread at the store. The flavor of the spices really enhance the bread. Tried this and even a rookie like me did it, cane out great.
Are you still posting thinks on Youtube? Looks like most are old posts Go Bless, Bill. Hi Jenny, I cut the recipe in half and gave it a try yesterday after having a bread machine in my shopping cart but not wanting to spend the money. Used a corningware instead of a dutch oven, and it worked fantastic. Thank you for this wonderful recipe!
You saved my wallet some money and my countertop from having a bread machine on it. Any ideas? I just mixed this up. Mine is dry also. We will find out if it worked for this recipe in about 2 minutes — I used seasoned salt for mine BTW it appeared to work very very well because I got an extremely high rise out of mine I also used equal amounts bread and all-purpose flours. I also did not work mine very well barely at all truly.
I have a very sharp pointy for that. Just checked and it is getting too brown for me , probably because I buttered it before I put it back in to finish for the last 15 minutes but I want the middle done I put the lid back on it for the last 7min. Okay so after 7 minutes my middle still has not done so I put it back in for 15 minutes I probably should have only wet one of my hands rub my hands together and then worked on my dough. It tastes great. The outside is perfectly crusty with the inside nice and chewy.
My house sits between degrees. Will the yeast rise OK out on the counter? Should I give it more time? I have made this recipe as written no less than 15 time as well as passing it on to many with the same great results. Thank you for making me look like the Queen of Bread Making with my buds. You rock!!! Though I had some challenges. Used Instant yeast on the second go and it turned out good.
However, I got a denser bread than expected. I used bread flour first and made another loaf with mostly all purpose flour. The second one turned out better…bigger air holes. So I think I was using too much flour. If you have a high altitude recipe I would appreciate it.
Two questions: 1 -My Dutch oven has a degree max temp per the manufacturer. Knowing this I extended baking time by 20 mins total 50 mins while parchment paper was in the Dutch oven, and by 10 mins total time 25 mins for the uncovered, no parchment session.
Bread looked good, but center was still somewhat raw. Any suggestion as to how much longer I need to adjust the baking times? Any advantage? The properly baked portions of the loaf were excellent and if I can resolve the baking times this bread is fantastic. Thanks for your help!! Oh, Susan! My advice is for you to MOVE!? Total fail for me…was so hoping it would work. I am sure I mess up somewhere. I used active yeast and the dough never rose or started to bubble. Any idea where I went wrong?
I had to run out and gave my husband instructions to remove the lid after 30 minutes but forgot to tell him about the parchment. Bottom of bread was still soggy so i threw it back in oven for 10 minutes and it came out perfect! I have a funny story to illustrate oven temp not being what it is set to. I was teaching a baking class to teenagers at church. I usually used the fellowship hall kitchen, but for the cakes I needed a bigger oven so we were in the gym kitchen.
After they mixed the cake batter and put it in their pans I put them in the oven and set the timer. God prompted me to check the cakes about 15 or 20 minutes early. The edges rose properly, but the centers rose about 3 times as high as they should have.
I thought they were overdone, but they turned out to be perfectly done and still moist. After being removed, they did settle down some and we trimmed the cakes level. I had even placed a thermometer in the oven and as part of the instruction told them about using an oven thermometer, but I forgot to actually look at it. Later i put it back in and tested the oven. The knob was set on F, but the actual temperature was F.
If the cakes had been in there the full time they would have burnt. Jenny, Can I use a long aluminum bread pan, uncovered, along with a pan of water to help with the steaming? By the way, you are the best. I have made several no knead breads and this is by far the best! I managed to snag two last slices from dinner to enjoy avocado toast for my breakfast.
I substituted 2 tsp wheat gluten and added a tsp of brown sugar. Thank you Jenny!! The first time I made the bread I used warm water about degrees. The bread diid rise but not high enough. I make this bread frequently, give it to my neighbors, they love it.
I do the overnight, I make it before bed, wake up and start my oven, never a failure! Thank you Jenny, I have been making bread for 50 years, this is the easiest and soooo good! Only the final 15 minute bake is accomplished in an uncovered pot. Hope this helps. Happy baking! Jenny, I made this 3 hour version tonight. For some reason the crust was thinner and crispier than the shorter version.
My husband loved it! My dutch oven recommends not to expose it to heat higher than degrees. Will this recipe still work at ? Thank you for the recipe, I have made this bread multiple times the only thing is that needs a little bit more salt if you are using bread flour. Cripsy on the outside, tender and fluffly on the inside; so delicious! I will definately try it with the everything bagel seasonings on the top next time to add some flavor.
Recipes with dough and me have never been successful — however this one works and if I can do this anyone can!! Thank you so much for sharing. If you have other ways to flavor the bread, please share. Gotta run and eat some more delicious homemade artisian bread!
I have been making it with fresh chopped rosemary, fresh chopped garlic and chopped kalamata olives mixed into the dough and it is absolutely fabulous!!! I made it for my neighbors and they were delighted and loved it too! I add a lot of items depending on what I have on hand, and have a hankering for. Yesterday I added cinnamon, a shake of Xylitol, walnuts, cranberries and shredded mozzarella. OMG, heavenly! Thank you, Jenny- I love you! I love your recipes are very good, so I figured you would have a great sourdough starter recipe.
Thank you so much if you get a chance to reply…. I hope that helps you. Thank you for this fabulous recipe. It reminded me of the fresh bread my mother-in-law made for the family every Saturday. And by the way you are too adorable and your smile is so sweet and genuine. Possibly because it sits covered for three hours, might have something to do with it. It rises beautifully. I just remembered — it is the hot temperature that makes it rise. The crustyness is wonderful! Thank you soooo much for this awesome recipe!!!
I made it for my daughter who asked to take half of it home with her. Hence my question, is it possible to make it in a loaf pan? If so, how would you cover the pan? Thank you for all your responses. I make this bread both ways dutch oven and pan.
Thank you for your response! In this case, is one loaf pan sufficient , or should I divide the dough in 2? Divide the dough after the 1st rise, form dough into a smooth disc and tuck the ends toward the bottom. Will make 8 rolls. You will need to use extra flour when forming the rolls as the dough is sticky.
Cover with a towel while oven preheats to Cook uncovered on a cookie sheet using a Silpat or parchment paper for 20 minutes. I am shocked at how good this bread is; and how easy it is to make. I used the metric measurements …. I use that tsp of sugar? What changed your recipe? Made a big pot of escarole wedding soup and knew I was making this delicious bread to serve with it. My go to fast bread. In my oven now! I have been baking bread for probably about 45 years. I did the over night method with the dough.
I also put the parchment paper and dough into the Dutch oven to rise. I did not preheat the pan. I put water in a pan on the bottom rack as soon as I turned on the oven to pre heat. I baked at for 20 minutes and the took the bread out of the Dutch oven and put it back on the rack of the oven for 10 more minutes.
This is the best bread I have ever made! This is my new favorite bread recipe! Hi Nancy, what made you decide to do the overnight method. Seems like so much more trouble. The way Jenny makes it is a cinch! You should try it! This is a very easy bread to make.
I have made it many, many times. Comes out tasting great. I saw your recipes and think they are great. Will let you know later how they came out. My neighbor turned me on to this about a month ago, I love this bread. I played with it and made a Rye, it was awesome! The only thing is it needed to bake a little bit longer than the white.
Thanks for an awesome recipe. I look forward to trying more of your recipes. Renee, I am intrigued by your rye variation. Can you tell us more? Did you substitute rye flour for all or part of the bread flour? Did you make any other changes? Hi Jenny thanks for your amazing recipe and easy-to-follow recipe! I tried that sourdough yeast and thought it was terrible. Maybe someone else has used it and can help out. Try asking the bakery at your grocery store if they will sell you yeast.
It usually cracks on its own but your oven and pot must be hot enough — F. Some people score the loaf with a sharp knife before baking. My first bread ever, it was so easy and it turned out fantastic. Has me wondering, why does everyone always say bread is difficult to make?!? Will be making this again, it makes you look like a serious baker. Been making this bread with varying levels of success a few times most of the variations are du to errors on my part.
I have a question. In the recipe, you say that it can be sliced after about 15 mins of cooling. My dad however insists on cutting it the day after in fear of it falling apart if we cut it too soon. I was wondering if there might be a reason that this bread can be cut earlier than the usual kneading bread? Just wait until the breads cool before cutting it. Flavor deepens with the cooling. I slice and freeze when the loaf is cool enough then it never has a chance to stale.
I have made this a dozen or so times and talked about it so much people at work are now baking it too. Its so simple and so delicious. I just follow the directions and perfect bread every time. Thank you so much for the recipe. Jenny, This was absolutely the easiest and most delicious homemade bread I ever tasted. I might try adding more yeast as others have done, although your recipe worked just fine.
Thanks, and…………. I discovered you by happenstance this weekend, and have been binge watching your videos ever since. I am determined to watch all of them. I will start with this recipe this weekend, turned my parents on to you, too.
So of the three, 32 is the best. The second factor is the pick size. The lesser the pick size, the better your odds of winning. For instance, a pick-5 game is better than a pick-6 lotto game. It takes many different names, depending on what games you are playing in. For the U. Some lottery systems take the extra ball from the same drum.
For instance, the Tattslotto system takes two supplementary numbers from the same drum, which makes this lottery a favorable one in comparison to U. Powerball or the U. Mega Millions. However, some lottery systems take the extra ball from a different drum. A system like this makes the lottery a harder one to win. For instance, the U. Powerball lets you pick 5 from 69 numbers. If not for the extra red ball, your odds would have been 1 to 11 million.
But because you need to match the red Powerball to win the grand prize by choosing numbers from 1 to 26, your odds become 1 to million. To compute the odds, first, we need to determine the number of possible combinations. To determine the total possible combinations, we use the binomial coefficients formula, which we regularly use in statistics and probability.
From that given value, determining the odds is as simple as separating the number of ways you win and the number of ways you lose. On the other hand, it is the Italian Superenalotto with the toughest odds to beat. Of course, a lottery with a huge jackpot is usually the hard one to win. Ultimately, you choose the lottery game that is not too hard to win yet offers a jackpot prize that is big enough to change your life. Start with the low hanging fruits. This probability formula works in theory.
You have to move your numbers around and see if your math can find an advantage. If you really want to win the lottery, you have to select your combination through strong mathematical reasoning. When you have a strong mathematical foundation, you will always trust your calculation, and you will never doubt your choices. They are not mathematically equivalent. Probability is the measurement of the likelihood that an event will occur. Mathematically, we express probability as:.
BUT you have the power to choose and give yourself the best ratio of success to failure. The strategy is in the act of choosing. In short, an intelligent choice of combination is all about choosing the type of combinations that will provide you with the best advantage the best ratio of success to failure. At the right moment, you have a 1 to , advantage of winning the jackpot prize. So mathematically, it means that you have , ways to match the winning combination against the 13,, ways you will not.
This gives you a meager ratio of success of 1 to And this choice of combination is an expensive strategy. That means you have 33 opportunities to match the winning numbers every times you play the lottery. Thus, you get closer to the winning numbers with a ratio of 1 is 2. As you can see, while all combinations have the same probability, these distinct combinations can be further divided into combinatorial groups based on their composition.
Each group exhibits a certain measure of advantage:. Take note that the purpose of paying attention to the combinatorial pattern is to get you closer to the winning numbers. Your goal is to win the lottery, and the first thing you should know before you play is to know the ratio of success to failure and choose the best one.
Even choosing not to play is a strategy by itself. Any external force that will disturb the random nature of a lottery game will distort the validity of any probability calculations we make. We might as well throw away what we have learned from our math teachers. There are only two types of processes. The process is either deterministic or random. If you combine the two, then it becomes probabilistic.
That means you can calculate your best choices. You will see the proof later. Now, I am not here to give you an illusion of control. You cannot predict the next winning numbers. No one can. The lottery is never a profitable exercise. But with probability theory, we can plan a better game strategy based on the law of large numbers. A truly random lottery suggests sensible tips on how not to be mathematically wrong when you try to win the game. The idea is simple. Based on the varying probability measurements in each group, We can separate the best combinations from the worst ones.
And what makes mathematics so fascinating is that any probability prediction we make agrees with the actual results. Two of these patterns exhibit the best probability. Of course, the same probability principle works for all lottery systems regardless of the format.
We will talk about these advanced patterns in detail below under combinatorial patterns. Since the lottery follows the dictate of probability, you can be sure that a mathematical prediction will always put you on the right track.
These calculated choices are possible because the lottery is truly random. The likelihood that your numbers will come out is about 1 in million if you play the U. Again, you must understand the odds. If you play just one ticket per week, it will take you 5. So winning may not happen to you in your lifetime. More tickets will give you more probability of winning. And that is especially true when you employ the principle of covering.
We will talk more about this covering principle in the lottery wheels section below. But regardless of the lottery format, the basic concept is the same. The way to explain this is through the use of probability theory. Earlier, I have introduced you to the probability equation. Let me remind you of the basic formula:. Usually, we use a percentage to express probability.
For the laymen, we also use the fractional presentation with numbers rounded off for simplicity. Covering is such a powerful mathematical method in combinatorics that can dramatically improve your chances of winning. On the other hand, if you play all the 13,, unique combinations, the probability of winning the lottery is a sure thing. Of course, buying all the tickets is something that is not achievable. Remember, the lottery is a random game.
Their objective was quite simple. Now, probability analysis differs for each lottery format. Compare that EV at the time when the U. We can see a huge improvement in EV. In short, a positive EV in the lottery rarely happens. Realistically, the lottery always yields a negative expected value. Therefore, playing the lottery can never substitute for a real job to earn a full-time income.
The lottery is truly a gambling activity and must be considered only for fun and excitement. The positive expected value only works when a lottery has a roll-down clause. See the lottery guide on how this roll-down clause works in your favor. When you fail to count the odd and even numbers in your combination, it hurts your chances of winning. To understand the probability of a combination based on odd and even numbers, we need to take it from the context of number patterns.
In this case, we need to find the many different ways odd and even numbers are combined to form a combination. And the way to find out the answer is through the use of probability theory and combinatorial math. To find the probability, we need to find the number of favorable combinations we can produce out of each pattern. Again, we use the binomial coefficient formula to determine the number of favorable combinations for each pattern.
To get the probability of each pattern, we use the same probability formula described earlier. Therefore, the probability of these odd-even patterns are as follows:. The probability table means that the 6-oddeven combinatorial group only has a 1. It would be best to focus on the 3-oddeven pattern.
Of course, we already know, all combinations have the same probability. So a combination such as carries the same probability as any balanced 3-oddeven lines. We have explained that probability is the measurement of the likelihood that an event will occur. Mathematically this measurement can be obtained by dividing the number of favorable events by all possible combinations. In the case of the 0-oddeven versus 3-oddeven pattern, we can clearly see a huge difference in the odds.
A purely 6-even combination will give you the odds of 1 to ,, but be aware that this advantage will happen only once in draws. In other words, your chance to win the jackpot only occurs every attempts. Do you? In comparison, a 3-oddeven combination will put you closer to winning the jackpot prize every 3 draws.
Meaning, for every draws, you have the chance to match all the winning numbers approximately 33 times instead of only once. To win the lottery, you have to keep your combination as close as possible to the type of combination that gets drawn more frequently. Choosing a 3-oddeven combination instead of 6-even e. It would be best to choose 3-oddeven because it gives you the best ratio of success to failure. It provides a reliable guide on how to pick lotto numbers with the best shot possible.
You only win when you match all the numbers. What you want to do is use these odd-even patterns to get the best ratio of success to failure and guide you closer to the winning combination. But it does give you a hint of what the outcome will most likely be in the future. The comparison graph below shows you the probability prediction compared to the actual draws of the Australian TattsLotto game.
This comparison graph proves that a probability estimation is an excellent tool for guiding lottery players. As you can see, the probability estimation matches exceptionally close to the actual TattsLotto draws. As I have said, the probability calculation is different for each lottery system. Based on that probability value, it tells that a 3-oddeven pattern is expected to occur about in draws of the TattsLotto.
The actual results of the Tattslotto from January 07, , to February 1, , show that 3-oddeven occurred times, and we estimated about times. Looking at the comparison graph above, the agreement between prediction and actual observed frequency is clear with one quick look. I mean by lottery prediction that you can determine what types of composition are most likely going to occur more frequently and how many times they are more likely to occur at a given number of draws.
For example, we use the probability value to estimate the likely outcome of certain lotto number patterns at a given number of draws. We then compare our estimation from the actual lottery results. To prove that our calculation is correct, it must follow this one simple rule:. The expected frequency should closely match the observed frequency with a sufficiently large sample of draws.
The study shows a close match between the expected frequency and the actual frequency. But the study is not just coincidental. The truth is that probability theory applies to all kinds of lottery systems. Below are more proofs from other lottery systems:. Like odd and even numbers, you have to make sure that you have balanced low and high numbers in your combinations.
Again, to calculate the probability, we have to take everything from the context of number patterns. Some lottery systems require no extra ball, but some games, such as the U. Powerball, need an extra ball to win the jackpot. In both cases, we will only use the primary balls, which are the 69 balls from the first drum.
Based on the probability table, we can predict the likely outcome of the U. Based on our probability estimation, we now know that two patterns in the U. Powerball come out better than the rest of the patterns. In this case, the best low-high number patterns in any pick-5 lottery games are the 3-lowhigh and the 2-lowhigh number patterns.
Choosing a 3-lowhigh combination instead of a 5-low combination e. But based on the calculation of odds, you should avoid because a 5-lowhigh pattern has fewer ways to win and more ways to fail. I recommend choosing 3-lowhigh because it offers the best ratio of success to failure.
It pays to know the probability of your combinations through combinatorial patterns. In the next section, I will introduce the most powerful combinatorial patterns that will serve as your guide. However, the majority of the lottery players are not paying attention to combinatorial patterns. Now, I have explained the odd-even and low-high patterns. But these basic types of combinations barely scratch the surface. For example, a combination such as falls under the 3-oddeven pattern.
So evidently, when you deal with two separate analyses, you will be presented with two contradicting viewpoints. Therefore, we must find a way to integrate the two analyses and provide only one solid recommendation. Thankfully, there is a solution. The solution is to use advanced combinatorial and probability analysis. The method is to put all factors together into one combinatorial equation.
The results of this combinatorial integration are called Lotterycodex patterns. Using these advanced patterns, we can determine the best, the bad, and the worst types of combinations in any lottery game. Keep in mind that these patterns will help you get closer to the winning combination. Remember, no one can claim the best strategy to win the lottery; all we can do is get our best shot.
And mathematics remains the best tool for the job. So in our case, we use combinatorics and probability theory to guide us. For example, in the U. Mega Millions, pattern 52 is calculated 3 times in every 1, draws. But lottery players keep wasting their money on this number pattern. But lotto players blindly fall on this bad pattern when they pick numbers at random. Why waste your money on a number pattern that only appears once in 10, draws? Remember that your goal is to get the best ratio of success to failure.
I can almost guarantee, the majority of the players are wasting their money on many of these lousy number combinations. There are many kinds of lottery wheeling systems. The most popular are the full-wheel, the abbreviated-wheel, and the filtered-wheel. Several lottery operators provide an option for players to play the full-wheeling system.
In Australia, they call it system play. The full-wheeling system allows you to pick more numbers. If you choose to play system-7, then you pick seven numbers. For instance, in a pick-5 lottery game, if you pick seven numbers: 8, 16, 17, 21, 24, 25, 36, then the system will produce a total of 21 possible combinations for you based on these seven numbers.
Suppose the numbers 8, 17, 24, and 36 are drawn, then the system provided you with two 4-matches and nine 3-matches. The disadvantage of the full-wheeling system is that it tends to become expensive when selecting more numbers. The more numbers you choose, the more combinations you need to buy for maximum win coverage.
For instance, if you select ten numbers, then it will produce possible combinations. If you pick 12 numbers, then the possible combinations will increase quickly to The abbreviated and the filtered wheel allows you to reduce the combinations for budgetary reason. So, I created a calculator that will not spoon-feed you with a list of combinations to play.
I want to discuss how the calculation works in a separate free guide. Lotterycodex is the only lottery wheel online that uses combinatorial math and probability theory in one system to separate the best group of combinations from the worst ones. It will allow you to see all the possible choices in your game and guides you to make intelligent choices.
Do you know that probability theory also provides information as to when you should skip the lottery? Now, take note that probability cannot provide information as to the perfect timing. Each drawing in the lottery always provides random results that are independent of the past draws. And no matter how improbable, it is still possible that the same number pattern may reoccur in 5 draws in a row.
This belief crippled a lot of lotto players for centuries. But we will shed light on this later on. Try to understand how the lottery works as a whole to see the larger picture. So what is this law in mathematics that governs the lottery?
We are speaking of the law of large numbers. The law of large numbers states that given enough trials, the actual outcomes always converge on the expected theoretical outcomes. As draws continue to take place in the lottery, the lottery follows a particular path as dictated by theoretical probability. As we have demonstrated already, we have shown that we can predict the best type of combination in the lottery. The actual results will take place as predicted by probability.
The graph below is a probability study I have conducted for the UK Lotto. The data were collected from October 10, , to February 5, We have proven it over and over.
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